fund-thesis-formatlisted
Install: claude install-skill Bubble-invest/bubble-ops-loop
# fund-thesis-format — the 7-part structure
The single source of truth for HOW the agent articulates an investment bet. Every
new thesis MUST conform. The structure renders at three depths — vault file,
proposal memo, short message — using the same skeleton at different densities.
The idea is **progressive disclosure**: same content, three surfaces.
## Why this exists
1. **Comparability.** A standardized skeleton makes any thesis comparable to any
other in the book — rank conviction, track it, audit kill triggers.
2. **Falsifiability.** Section 4 (INVALIDATION) is mandatory. No thesis enters the
book without a written kill condition.
3. **AI-agent + human dual readability.** Machine-queryable frontmatter +
human-readable prose + a phone-skim-friendly short render. One source, three surfaces.
## The 7 sections
Every thesis MUST have these 7 sections, in this order. Skip a section ONLY by
writing one line stating WHY it doesn't apply. A silently-omitted section is a bug.
### 1. CLAIM
A single declarative sentence stating the directional bet. No qualifiers.
Pattern: `[Buy / Sell / Hedge with] [INSTRUMENT] because [SPECIFIC OBSERVABLE WILL HAPPEN] over [HORIZON].`
### 2. CAUSAL MECHANISM
The chain of cause-and-effect connecting the §1 observable to the price moving in
your favor. Numbered chain, 3-7 links. Each link names an actor or mechanism, not
a vibe. This forces "I believe X because Y because Z" — no pattern-matching.
### 3. PORTFOLIO FIT
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