prediction-markets-researchlisted
Install: claude install-skill Crawlora-org/crawlora-skills
# Prediction markets research
Pull live and historical odds, order books, and forecast questions from
Polymarket, Kalshi, and Metaculus as normalized JSON — no scraping
market-maker sites or parsing raw order-book blobs.
## When to use this skill
- "What does the market think will happen with <event>?" / "current odds for …"
- "Show me the order book / spread / price history for this market."
- "What are the top trending prediction markets right now?"
- "What's the community forecast (Metaculus) for <question>?"
- Election, macro, sports, or crypto-outcome forecasting research.
## Setup (one-time)
- Get a free Crawlora API key (2,000 credits/mo, no card) at [https://crawlora.net](https://crawlora.net?utm_source=github&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=crawlora-skills).
- `export CRAWLORA_API_KEY=sk_your_key_here`
- All requests: `x-api-key: $CRAWLORA_API_KEY` against
`https://api.crawlora.net/api/v1`. Missing/invalid key → `401`.
## How it works
1. **Polymarket** — `/polymarket/search` or `/polymarket/events` to find an
event; `/polymarket/event/{slug}` for detail (nested markets);
`/polymarket/market/{id}` for one market; then token-level pricing via
`/polymarket/token/{token_id}/price|midpoint|orderbook|spread|price-history`
(or the batched `POST /polymarket/tokens/prices` etc. for up to 25 at once).
`/polymarket/leaderboard` and `/polymarket/dashboards/macro` cover traders
and macro events.
2. **Kalshi** — `/kalshi/events` / `/kalshi/markets` to b