hypothesis-trackerlisted

# Hypothesis Tracker Hypothesis management per CEO Bible Section J. ## WIP Limits (Critical Chain) - **Max active hypotheses: 3** - **Max concurrent experiments: 2** - Stagger rule: do not start a new experiment until the bottleneck step of the current one is complete If the founder asks to add a 4th active hypothesis -> ask: "Which of the current ones are you pausing or killing?" Reason: each parallel project doubles the lead time of all others (Goldratt Critical Chain). Less WIP = faster throughput. ## Relay Race (Critical Chain) Don't wait for the deadline. If evidence is sufficient for a decision (keep/kill/reframe) BEFORE the timebox — decide now. On every hypothesis update, check: "Is there enough data for a decision already?" If yes -> flag: "H00X has sufficient evidence. Relay race — decide now." ## Commands The founder may say: - "new hypothesis: ..." -> add (check WIP limit!) - "update hypothesis X: ..." -> update status/result - "kill hypothesis X: ..." -> close with reason - "show hypotheses" -> list active ones - "rank hypotheses" -> re-sort by ELV ## Hypothesis Format (Bible J) **For [ICP] who [trigger/problem], if we change [message / offer / product step / pricing / channel], then [metric] will move from X to Y by [date], because [evidence].** ## Structure in `memory/hypotheses.json` ```json { "hypotheses": [ { "id": "H001", "created": "2026-03-15", "status": "active", "statement": "For [ICP] who [trigger/problem], i