kalshi-crypto-index-marketslisted

# Kalshi Crypto & Index Range Markets Kalshi lists daily (and for crypto, hourly) **range bracket markets** on the level of four liquid underlyings: S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, Bitcoin, and Ethereum. The math is the same partition-and-Gaussian framework as weather brackets — the variable is just price/return and σ comes from the underlying's realized or implied volatility, not a temperature model. > Cross-references: for Kalshi API mechanics see `kalshi-api`; for the strategy, sizing, and backtesting framework see `prediction-market-strategy`; for the temperature counterpart see `kalshi-weather-markets`; for the shared bracket/overround formulas see `prediction-markets/references/brackets-and-settlement.md`. --- ## Series & Market-Type Mapping ```python SERIES_MARKET = { "KXINX": "index", # S&P 500 index level "KXNASDAQ100": "index", # Nasdaq-100 index level "KXBTC": "crypto", # Bitcoin price (USD) "KXETH": "crypto", # Ethereum price (USD) } ``` - `market_type = "index"` — daily range only; underlying is the index points level at the official market close. - `market_type = "crypto"` — daily **and hourly** range markets; BTC and ETH each have multiple hourly events running in parallel with the daily. Cadence is higher than weather: crypto hourlies open and settle throughout the day; daily markets open the prior session and settle at the reference close. --- ## Bracket Structure Each event is a **mutually exclusive, collectively exhaus