experiment-analysislisted
Install: claude install-skill Sidsaladi9/persona-os
# Experiment Analysis
A rigorous frequentist framework for designing and analyzing A/B tests: state a falsifiable hypothesis, pre-register one primary metric plus guardrails, compute the sample size needed to detect a meaningful effect, then read the result honestly — without peeking or p-hacking — and convert it into a ship/kill decision.
**Grounded in:** *Trustworthy Online Controlled Experiments* — Kohavi, Tang & Xu: pre-registered metric, power, and an honest read of significance vs. MDE.
**Go deeper (The Product Channel):** [Learning from Experiments](https://sidsaladi.substack.com/p/week-26-learning-from-experiments)
## When to use this
- You're about to launch an A/B test and need a design that won't be ambiguous later ("here's the change, help me set it up properly").
- A test has finished (or is mid-flight) and you need to interpret the numbers and decide ship vs. kill.
- Someone shows you a "significant" result and you suspect peeking, a tiny sample, or a cherry-picked metric.
- You need to estimate how long a test must run, or whether you even have the traffic to detect the effect you care about.
- You're refereeing a debate where two people read the same dashboard and reached opposite conclusions.
## Before you start (gather these)
- **The change and the mechanism** — what's different in treatment, and *why* you believe it moves the metric.
- **Primary metric** — the single conversion/rate/continuous metric that decides the test. One. Plus its current baseline