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feedback-loopslisted

Activate when: user says "we keep overshooting/undershooting", "the cure is causing the disease", "we're stuck in a loop", "why does this keep happening?", "the system keeps fighting back", "bullwhip effect", "death spiral", "growth flywheel"; system shows oscillation or sudden collapse; user is planning an intervention in an org/market/supply chain and wants to predict how it will respond. Do NOT activate when: the decision is a one-shot linear choice with no feedback to future decisions, or an exogenous shock so large it dominates all internal dynamics is the obvious explanation.
deciqAI/knowledge-skills · ★ 0 · AI & Automation · score 72
Install: claude install-skill deciqAI/knowledge-skills
# Feedback Loops ## Overview A system has a **feedback loop** when its output circles back as input to the next cycle. **Reinforcing loops** amplify (compound interest, viral growth, bank runs, death spirals). **Balancing loops** self-correct (thermostats, price discovery, immune response). The critical complication is **delay**: when delay is long relative to response time, even well-designed balancing loops produce oscillation and overshoot — and operators systematically mismanage the system (Sterman 1989: supply-line underweight = 0.34 on a 0–1 scale). Composes with: [`second-order-thinking`](../second-order-thinking/SKILL.md) · [`s-curve-technology-adoption`](../s-curve-technology-adoption/SKILL.md) · [`prisoners-dilemma`](../prisoners-dilemma/SKILL.md) · [`probabilistic-thinking`](../probabilistic-thinking/SKILL.md) ## When to Use Apply when: system shows non-linear surprise (collapse, oscillation, death spiral, growth flywheel); you are intervening in a complex system and success depends on how it responds; trends are not extrapolating well; bullwhip or oscillation in any quantity that should be steady. **When NOT to use:** one-shot linear decision with no feedback; insufficient data to map loops (hand-waving without structure); decision too time-bounded for delays to matter; exogenous shock dominates internal dynamics. ## Coaching Novices (Adaptive Front Door) - **Engine mode:** concrete case → run The Process directly. - **Coach mode:** unfamiliar or no concre