macro-rateslisted
Install: claude install-skill kensongan-prog/trading-advisor
# Macro Rates Skill (FRED)
## When to use
Trigger this skill when a recommendation, watchlist sweep, or daily review needs:
- **Rate regime** — what is the Fed funds rate, where are 2y/10y/30y, is the curve inverted?
- **Real yields + inflation expectations** — TIPS yield and 10y breakeven (the BTC/gold/duration sensitivity inputs).
- **Inflation trajectory** — most recent CPI and PCE prints (headline + core), MoM and YoY.
- **Labor** — unemployment rate, last NFP delta.
- **Dollar trend** — 30d move on the broad trade-weighted USD (EM/crypto/gold headwind/tailwind).
- **Vol regime** — VIX level (option premium rich/cheap; equity risk-on/off).
- **Composite regime read** — one-line verdict that should bias every recommendation per AGENTS.md §4.
Recommended cadence:
- **Daily** before opening any new position (`snapshot` once).
- **At every CPI/PCE print** (~mid-month) — `series` lookup on the specific release.
- **At every FOMC** — `series` lookup on DFF before/after; verify the move was priced in.
- **Whenever a recommendation cites duration sensitivity** (RGLD, treasury, long-tenor growth) — `series` on DGS10 + DFII10.
Do NOT use for non-US macro (BNM, ECB, BOJ). Different sources needed for those.
## Why this exists
AGENTS.md §4 specifies confluence across {technicals + sentiment OR fundamentals OR flow}, but the doctrine also assumes regime-awareness: e.g., §5 says "12h before FOMC/CPI/NFP" no new exposure on macro names. Without a macro feed, regime context is unv