trend-analysislisted
Install: claude install-skill modeled-information-format/mif-docs-plugin
# trend-analysis
Produces a **trajectory report**: a foresight deliverable that states the
current direction of change, the observable signals behind it, the forces
driving and dampening it, and the plausible forward scenarios so a reader can
plan against an uncertain future. Its center of gravity is the **trajectory or
scenario diagram** — a report with no such figure is not a conformant
trend-analysis deliverable, because a trend without a time-anchored visual is
narration, not analysis.
This genre follows the widely-used IFTF/WEF/APF foresight-report pattern. That
pattern is **conventional practice, not a codified format standard** — no
standards body (ISO/NISO/ANSI) has codified a foresight/trend-report format,
and the report must say so plainly rather than claim conformance to a named
standard.
## Pattern (industry: IFTF/WEF/APF-style trajectory report)
1. **Trajectory** — the current direction of change and its recent history;
the headline movement, framed as increasing / decreasing / steady where the
evidence supports it.
2. **Signals** — the observable indicators behind the trajectory, each tied to
a cited source. Distinguish leading from lagging signals and strong from
weak ones.
3. **Drivers & Inhibitors** — the forces accelerating or dampening the trend.
4. **Scenarios** — 2 to 4 plausible forward paths over a stated horizon, with
the conditions and triggers that would select each one. Note the
confidence and the unknowns.
5. **Implications &