simulate-elite-expertslisted

# Simulate Elite Experts ## 中文介绍 `simulate-elite-experts` 用于处理高复杂度、高不确定性或较难逆转的决策问题。它不是普通的“专家角色扮演”，而是一个带硬约束的四视角推理框架：选择两位与问题直接相关、可从公开作品推断方法论的真实人物，再加入一个领域专家抽象角色和一个全知智能体抽象角色，让它们围绕同一决策进行立场陈述、交叉质询、修正和综合。 适合使用的场景： - 需要比较多个强观点，而不是只要一个直接答案。 - 决策涉及速度、质量、风险、成本、组织、伦理等多重约束。 - 用户希望知道“应该找哪些顶级人物/视角来讨论这个问题，以及他们可能会怎么说”。 不适合用于简单事实查询、单一正确答案、低成本可逆选择或纯情绪支持。输出必须区分事实、假设和推测；对真实人物的观点只能基于公开资料做模拟推断，不能伪造直接引语、私人意图或未验证事实。 ## Applicability Pre-Check (Gate 0) Before running the full framework, evaluate 3 dimensions to decide whether this tool is appropriate: 1. **Complexity**: Does the problem involve multiple stakeholders, competing constraints, or non-obvious tradeoffs? - Yes (score 1) → proceed. - No (score 0) → consider skipping; a direct answer may suffice. 2. **Reversibility**: Is the decision hard to reverse once made? - Hard to reverse (score 1) → proceed; structured deliberation is valuable. - Easy to reverse (score 0) → consider skipping; low-cost decisions rarely need multi-lens analysis. 3. **Information ambiguity**: Is there significant uncertainty about facts, outcomes, or stakeholder preferences? - High ambiguity (score 1) → proceed; the framework surfaces hidden assumptions. - Low ambiguity (score 0) → consider skipping; the answer may already be clear. **Decision rule**: - Total >= 2 → use the full framework. - Total = 1 → offer the user a choice between `micro` (lightweight) and full framework. - Total = 0 → recommend skipping; inform the user this question is be