think-belief-update-routinelisted

<!-- thinking-framework-skills | https://github.com/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills | Apache-2.0 --> # Belief-Update Routine A belief-update routine **re-scores a standing inventory of open beliefs against newly arrived evidence, on a cadence**. For each tracked belief it records a prior confidence, the evidence accrued since the last review, a revised confidence with an **explicit delta and direction**, a stated reason for the *size* of the move, and a next-review trigger. The load-bearing move is the disciplined, recurring **re-score of a portfolio over time**: it makes under-updating (the robust human tendency to revise too little for the evidence) visible and correctable, and it keeps beliefs that should track reality - open forecasts, strategic theses, standing assumptions - honest against new information rather than quietly stale. The output is a structured **belief-update ledger**, not prose, designed to be reopened and re-scored on the next cadence. ## When to Use - When you hold a set of consequential, genuinely open beliefs, forecasts, or standing assumptions that should track reality over time, and you want a recurring, disciplined re-score rather than a one-off. - When **genuinely new evidence has arrived** since you last examined them, so there is something real to update on. - When you suspect you are under-updating - holding a belief sticky as evidence accumulates against it - and you want the size of each update made explicit and checkable. - W