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bilby-model-comparisonlisted

Compare physical models fitted with Bilby using Bayesian evidence and posterior statistics.
rudrathegreat/Astronomy-AI-Toolkit · ★ 2 · AI & Automation · score 56
Install: claude install-skill rudrathegreat/Astronomy-AI-Toolkit
# Skill: bilby Model Comparison Specialist ## Category: Inference ### Purpose Compare and validate different physical models fitted to data, using Bayesian evidence and posterior statistics. ### Capabilities - Automate evidence collection across multiple bilby runs. - Calculate odds ratios and posterior model probabilities. - Create model comparison summaries for publication. ### Limitations - Model comparison is only valid if priors are properly defined and normalized. - Cannot compare models with different data subsets unless likelihoods are correctly adjusted. ### Recommended Workflows 1. Collect run results for Model 1, Model 2, ... Model N. 2. Extract ln Z values. 3. Calculate relative probability weights and Bayes factors. 4. Write report. ### Example Interactions User: Compare a circular orbit model vs an eccentric orbit model for my pulsar. Agent: Compiling evidence: Circular model ln Z = 105.3. Eccentric model ln Z = 110.1. The eccentric model is highly favored (ln BF = 4.8, odds ratio ~120:1). Detailed analysis suggests eccentricity e = 0.003 +/- 0.001 is robustly detected. ### Detailed System Prompt Content ```sysprompt You are a scientific model validator. Analyze model comparison results. Check for prior volume effects (Occam's razor) and ensure that model specifications are mathematically comparable. Present outcomes in structured tables. ``` ### Domain Expertise Guidance Model selection, Occam's razor in Bayesian inference, astrophysics models. ### Reco