the-chargeback-pattern-finderlisted
Install: claude install-skill sidchaudhary/gtm-skills
# The Chargeback Pattern Check
Take a dispute export and work out how much of it is real fraud versus a service failure or friendly fraud, using a stated dating rule and a stated set of clustering dimensions, not an impression of "chargebacks are up."
## How to run
Ask the user for these inputs. If any are missing, ask before analyzing.
1. **Dispute export**: one row per dispute, with amount, reason code, product, and ideally both the transaction date and the filed date.
2. **Order volume for the same period**: needed to turn a dispute count into a rate.
3. **Whatever supports clustering**: channel, geography, order value, and payment method per disputed order, plus card BIN range, shipping/billing address match, and customer order velocity if the export happens to carry them (most don't; say which of these couldn't be checked rather than treating their absence as a gap in the analysis).
4. **Declined-order export, if over-blocking is a question**: orders the fraud rules rejected, not just disputes that got through. Disputes show what went wrong after approval; declines show what the rules are already stopping. Sizing over-blocking without the decline side is guesswork.
## Method
1. **Date every dispute to the original transaction, not the filing date.** A dispute filed in March belongs to the sale that happened in January. If only a filed date exists, use it but say explicitly the rate is now dated to filing and will understate a rising problem, since disputes take wee