macro-liquidity-monitorlisted
Install: claude install-skill ssurmic/claude-investment-skills
# Macro Liquidity Monitor — USD Funding & Repo Plumbing
## The one question this answers
**Is the banking system's overnight funding loose, normal, tightening, or stressed — and what's the next pressure point?**
This is NOT the equity-warning radar (`macro-warning`). That one watches valuation /
VIX / sentiment. This one watches the **plumbing**: where overnight cash actually
clears, how much buffer is left, and whether anyone is tapping the Fed's backstop.
Two lenses, both served by the same data:
- **"Too loose → bubble"** (the SLR-relief / deregulation worry): watch for SOFR
printing *below* IORB while the RRP buffer is gone — cash with nowhere to go.
- **"Too tight → funding stress"** (a repo crisis): watch for SOFR *above* IORB,
reserves near LCLoR, and SRF takeup spiking.
## When to invoke
- Manual: "流动性怎么样 / liquidity check / SOFR-IORB / when does liquidity tighten".
- Twice-daily batch (GitHub Actions, weekdays): **08:30 ET** morning preview
(prior-day SOFR/EFFR) + **16:30 ET** post-close confirm (same-day ON RRP + SRF).
Both push a Telegram digest; a 🔔 REGIME CHANGED banner is prepended on a band flip
(tracked via committed `state.json`).
- Around month-end / quarter-end and big Treasury-issuance / debt-ceiling weeks.
## ⭐ Canonical data pull: `scripts/liquidity_pull.py`
Only dependency is `requests`. No API key. Run it:
```bash
PY=/tmp/.insider_venv/bin/python; [ -x "$PY" ] || PY=python3
$PY ~/.claude/skills/macro-liquidity-monitor/scripts/liquid