n-falsifiability-truthlisted
Install: claude install-skill thepraggyverse/naval
# Naval Falsifiability Truth
Test whether claims have predictive power and can be falsified.
Read first:
- `references/concept.md`
## Procedure
1. Extract the claim and remove flexible or undefined terms.
2. Write a prediction with population, measure, direction, magnitude, and time window.
3. Define a baseline, confounders, and disconfirming threshold.
4. Specify how each result changes confidence or action.
Return these checkable fields:
- Testable claim
- Prediction
- Baseline and confounders
- Disconfirmation threshold
- Update rule
This tests predictive usefulness, not moral worth or every kind of philosophical meaning.
Paraphrase by default; do not reproduce long book passages. State uncertainty for attribution, health, legal, or financial claims that need verification.