melech-market-validation

# Market Validation Start with the opportunity as the user actually has it. If the premise is open, help shape it without manufacturing certainty. Once it is testable, validate it from plausibility to the strongest real-world evidence the user can obtain. Do not mistake research, enthusiasm, interviews, or one pilot for a validated market. The skill has two connected modes: - **Shape** — clarify and reframe an open opportunity until the next useful product or market hypothesis is visible. A verdict is optional. - **Validate** — test one provisional hypothesis against customer, behavioral, and commercial evidence until an explicit market decision is possible. When the user asks for full validation, the work is complete only when it has: 1. made the hypothesis falsifiable 2. mapped evidence for and against every decision-carrying claim 3. closed the most important evidence gap with primary or behavioral evidence when access permits 4. separated what is known from what remains merely plausible 5. produced an explicit **Advance / Reshape / Hold / Stop** decision Market validation may span multiple sessions because customers and experiments exist outside the chat. Preserve one living validation brief so the work can resume without restarting. ## Boundary first Choose this skill based on the state of the user's thinking: | User has | Use | |---|---| | A concrete requested solution that may not serve the real need | Distill the real need first — not this skill | | An...