023-assumption-analysis

# Assumption Analysis Guide production of explicit Assumptions, a list of Unknowns, and a Validation plan for a problem under exploration. **This is an interactive SKILL**. **What is covered in this Skill?** - Surfacing assumptions implicit in the problem frame and root-cause findings - Distinguishing an assumption (believed true, not yet verified) from an unknown (not yet known either way) - Ranking assumptions and unknowns by impact and confidence - Defining a validation plan that names how and when each risky assumption or unknown will be checked - Feeding assumption and unknown findings into `024-context-mapping` and the remaining Functional Specification lenses ## Constraints Make assumptions and unknowns explicit before they become undiscussed risk. When this technique is orchestrated by another workflow, the orchestrator owns clarifying-question sequencing; when applied standalone, ask directly. - **MUST** read `references/023-assumption-analysis.md` before applying Assumption Analysis guidance - **MUST** state each assumption as a falsifiable claim believed true but not yet verified - **MUST** distinguish assumptions (believed true) from unknowns (not yet known either way) - **MUST** rank assumptions and unknowns by impact if wrong and by current confidence - **MUST** define a validation plan naming how and when each high-impact, low-confidence assumption or unknown will be checked - **MUST NOT** invent an assumption, unknown, or validation step when the availab...