experiment-design

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A discipline for designing experiments (A/B tests, multivariate, holdouts) so the results actually answer the question you asked. Hypothesis writing, sample size, duration, segment analysis, running discipline, matching a result to a pre-committed decision rule, and the common failure modes that produce confidently wrong shipping decisions. Use this skill whenever the user is planning a test that has not run yet: framing a hypothesis, sizing the sample, setting duration, choosing guardrails, or deciding whether something is worth testing at all. Triggers on design an experiment, experiment plan, A/B test, split test, multivariate test, holdout, experiment hypothesis, sample size, minimum detectable effect, MDE, test duration, guardrail metric, no peeking, pre-committed decision rule, is this worth testing. Use `experimentation-analytics` instead when the test has already run and the question is how to read the result panel.

AI & Automation 843 stars 118 forks Updated 3 days ago MIT

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Skill Content

# Experiment Design A senior product manager's playbook for running experiments that produce trustworthy decisions. The default state of experimentation in most companies is sloppy. PMs run tests against vague hypotheses, look at results too early, ignore guardrails, stratify into noise, and ship features whose lift is mostly measurement error. The cost is real: ship the wrong thing, kill the right thing, learn the wrong lesson, repeat. This skill is the discipline that prevents most of those mistakes. It assumes you have a working experimentation platform (Statsig, PostHog, GrowthBook, Optimizely, Amplitude, Eppo, Kameleoon; the platform does not matter for the principles). It assumes you have product-design and engineering pipelines that can deliver real treatment changes. The hard part is the thinking, and that is what is here. When to use this skill: any time you are about to design or interpret an experiment. Read the relevant section before you start, not after the test is running. --- ## What this skill covers The skill spans the full experiment lifecycle. Pre-experiment readiness (is this thing even worth testing). Hypothesis design (cause, effect, magnitude, mechanism). Sample size and minimum detectable effect (do you have enough traffic to learn anything). Duration (how long is long enough, when does the cycle bias the result). Running discipline (no peeking, guardrails, sequential testing). Interpretation (the three buckets and the inconclusive case). Decis...

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Author
rampstackco
Repository
rampstackco/claude-skills
Created
4 months ago
Last Updated
3 days ago
Language
Python
License
MIT

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AI & Automation Listed

experiment-design

Use when planning A/B tests, fake-door tests, beta rollouts, experiments, metric rules, or interpreting outcomes.

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experimentation-analytics

How to read experiment results without fooling yourself. Confidence intervals, p-values, multiple testing, sequential testing, CUPED, heterogeneous treatment effects, ratio metrics, network effects, dashboard reconciliation, and the interpretation failures that produce confidently wrong shipping decisions. Use this skill whenever the user is reading a finished experiment result panel and about to make a ship, kill, or iterate decision, or when an experiment number does not match the dashboard number. Triggers on read experiment results, result panel, ship or kill decision, p-value, confidence interval, statistical significance, multiple testing, peeking, sequential testing, CUPED, variance reduction, heterogeneous treatment effects, ratio metric, network effects, inconclusive test, experiment versus dashboard mismatch. Use `experiment-design` instead when the test has not run yet and the question is hypothesis, sample size, duration, or what to test.

843 Updated 3 days ago
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Web & Frontend Listed

experiment-designer

Turn an assumption or a growth bet into an experiment brief with a mechanism-stated hypothesis, one primary metric, guardrails with floors, an exposure design, a sample size reasoned from the minimum detectable effect, and stop rules written before launch. Use when a growth plan bet needs a test, when an assumption register row is low confidence and high impact, when a price change should be tried on a slice first, or when someone says "let us just A/B it". Takes the assumption, the metric candidate with its baseline, the eligible traffic, and the guardrail candidates; returns the test card, the filled brief, the sizing record with its calculator inputs, and the pre-committed decision rule.

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