alternative-analysis

# Alternative Analysis Strategy CIA SAT alternative analysis: generate multiple competing interpretations to prevent anchoring on a single explanation. ## Method 1. **alternative-futures** builds 2-4 divergent scenarios from the same evidence base 2. What-If Analysis: systematically vary key variables to explore outcome sensitivity 3. Four Ways of Seeing: examine artifact through lenses of opportunity, risk, structure, and agency 4. **probe-execution** tests each alternative against available evidence 5. Diagnostic indicators identified that would discriminate between alternatives 6. **finding-aggregation** compares explanatory power across alternatives ## Budget Table | Parameter | S | M | L | |---|---|---|---| | Attack vectors | 5 | 12 | 20 | | Probing rounds | 3 | 6 | 10 | | Personas | 2 | 4 | 6 | | Assumption checks | 5 | 10 | 20 | ## Orchestration ``` threat-surface-mapping → [identify variable dimensions] → alternative-futures (generate 2-4 scenarios) → [for each alternative]: attack-vector-generation (find discriminating tests) → probe-execution (test alternative) → finding-aggregation → attack-resilience-scoring ``` ## Subagents - threat-surface-mapping (dimension identification) - alternative-futures (scenario generation) - attack-vector-generation (discriminating test design) - probe-execution (alternative testing) - finding-aggregation (comparative synthesis) <!-- BEGIN available-tables (generated) --> ## Available Tactics Optional, no fixed ord...